Bank of Canada Rate Announcement Oct 25th, 2023

Lee Welbanks • October 25, 2023

Bank of Canada maintains policy rate, continues quantitative tightening.


FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Media Relations

Ottawa, Ontario

October 25, 2023


The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at 5%, with the Bank Rate at 5¼% and the deposit rate at 5%. The Bank is continuing its policy of quantitative tightening.


The global economy is slowing and growth is forecast to moderate further as past increases in policy rates and the recent surge in global bond yields weigh on demand. The Bank projects global GDP growth of 2.9% this year, 2.3% in 2024 and 2.6% in 2025. While this global growth outlook is little changed from the July Monetary Policy Report (MPR), the composition has shifted, with the US economy proving stronger and economic activity in China weaker than expected. Growth in the euro area has slowed further. Inflation has been easing in most economies, as supply bottlenecks resolve and weaker demand relieves price pressures. However, with underlying inflation persisting, central banks continue to be vigilant. Oil prices are higher than was assumed in July, and the war in Israel and Gaza is a new source of geopolitical uncertainty.


In Canada, there is growing evidence that past interest rate increases are dampening economic activity and relieving price pressures. Consumption has been subdued, with softer demand for housing, durable goods and many services. Weaker demand and higher borrowing costs are weighing on business investment. The surge in Canada’s population is easing labour market pressures in some sectors while adding to housing demand and consumption. In the labour market, recent job gains have been below labour force growth and job vacancies have continued to ease. However, the labour market remains on the tight side and wage pressures persist. Overall, a range of indicators suggest that supply and demand in the economy are now approaching balance.


After averaging 1% over the past year, economic growth is expected to continue to be weak for the next year before increasing in late 2024 and through 2025. The near-term weakness in growth reflects both the broadening impact of past increases in interest rates and slower foreign demand. The subsequent pickup is driven by household spending as well as stronger exports and business investment in response to improving foreign demand. Spending by governments contributes materially to growth over the forecast horizon. Overall, the Bank expects the Canadian economy to grow by 1.2% this year, 0.9% in 2024 and 2.5% in 2025.


CPI inflation has been volatile in recent months—2.8% in June, 4.0% in August, and 3.8% in September. Higher interest rates are moderating inflation in many goods that people buy on credit, and this is spreading to services. Food inflation is easing from very high rates. However, in addition to elevated mortgage interest costs, inflation in rent and other housing costs remains high. Near-term inflation expectations and corporate pricing behaviour are normalizing only gradually, and wages are still growing around 4% to 5%. The Bank’s preferred measures of core inflation show little downward momentum.


In the Bank’s October projection, CPI inflation is expected to average about 3½% through the middle of next year before gradually easing to 2% in 2025. Inflation returns to target about the same time as in the July projection, but the near-term path is higher because of energy prices and ongoing persistence in core inflation.


With clearer signs that monetary policy is moderating spending and relieving price pressures, Governing Council decided to hold the policy rate at 5% and to continue to normalize the Bank’s balance sheet. However, Governing Council is concerned that progress towards price stability is slow and inflationary risks have increased, and is prepared to raise the policy rate further if needed. Governing Council wants to see downward momentum in core inflation, and continues to be focused on the balance between demand and supply in the economy, inflation expectations, wage growth and corporate pricing behaviour. The Bank remains resolute in its commitment to restoring price stability for Canadians.


Information note

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is December 6, 2023. The Bank will publish its next full outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, in the MPR on January 24, 2024.


Read the October 25th, 2023 Monetary Policy Report.


Lee Welbanks

Smart Steps to Get Your Home Market-Ready

By Lee Welbanks • July 29, 2026
Thinking About Selling Your Home? Start With These 3 Key Questions Selling your home is a major move—emotionally, financially, and logistically. Whether you're upsizing, downsizing, relocating, or just ready for a change, there are a few essential questions you should have answers to before you list that "For Sale" sign. 1. How Will I Get My Home Sale-Ready? Before your property hits the market, you’ll want to make sure it puts its best foot forward. That starts with understanding its current market value—and ends with a plan to maximize its appeal. A real estate professional can walk you through what similar homes in your area have sold for and help tailor a prep plan that aligns with current market conditions. Here are some things you might want to consider: Decluttering and removing personal items Minor touch-ups or repairs Fresh paint inside (and maybe outside too) Updated lighting or fixtures Professional staging Landscaping or exterior cleanup High-quality photos and possibly a virtual tour These aren’t must-dos, but smart investments here can often translate to a higher sale price and faster sale. 2. What Will It Actually Cost to Sell? It’s easy to look at the selling price and subtract your mortgage balance—but the real math is more nuanced. Here's a breakdown of the typical costs involved in selling a home: Real estate agent commissions (plus GST/HST) Legal fees Mortgage discharge fees (and possibly a penalty) Utility and property tax adjustments Moving expenses and/or storage costs That mortgage penalty can be especially tricky—it can sometimes be thousands of dollars, depending on your lender and how much time is left in your term. Not sure what it might cost you? I can help you estimate it. 3. What’s My Plan After the Sale? Knowing your next step is just as important as selling your current home. If you're buying again, don’t assume you’ll automatically qualify for a new mortgage just because you’ve had one before. Lending rules change, and so might your financial situation. Before you sell, talk to a mortgage professional to find out what you’re pre-approved for and what options are available. If you're planning to rent or relocate temporarily, think about timelines, storage, and transition costs. Clarity and preparation go a long way. The best way to reduce stress and make confident decisions is to work with professionals you trust—and ask all the questions you need. If you’re thinking about selling and want help mapping out your next steps, I’d be happy to chat anytime. Let’s make a smart plan, together.
Four coworkers in a bright office meeting around a laptop and papers, discussing work at a wooden table

Debt Cosolidation Strategy

By Lee Welbanks • July 22, 2026
How to Get Out of Debt Faster Debt has a way of quickly spiralling out of control, particularly if you face one of life’s most common financial obstacles – such as job loss/wage reduction, separation/divorce or illness/death. But, fortunately, there are debt-reduction strategies available to get you out of debt quicker and remain debt free! One popular debt-reduction strategy tackles your smallest debt balances first before moving up the chain to pay off larger ones. When the smallest debt is paid in full, you roll the minimum payment you were making on that debt into the next-smallest debt payment. Here’s how it works in bite-sized steps: Record your debts from smallest to largest regardless of interest rate Make minimum payments on all your debts except the smallest one Pay as much as possible on your smallest debt Repeat until each debt is paid in full Focus on outstanding balances, not interest rates If your largest debt has the largest interest rate, it’s going to be a long time before you even see a dent in that crazy balance of yours. But when you stick to the smallest balance plan, you’re going to feel a true sense of accomplishment as you pay off that debt super quick. That excitement is what’s going to motivate you to keep working hard until you’re completely out of debt. This debt strategy is effective because it’s all about changing your behaviour. And once you see positive results, you’re more encouraged to stay the course until you’re out of debt. Example Let’s say you have four different debts: $500 dental bill – $50 payment $2,500 credit card debt – $63 payment $7,000 car loan – $135 payment $10,000 student loan – $96 payment Using this debt strategy, you make minimum payments on everything except the $500 dental bill. Since you’re paying $550 a month on the dental bill (the $50 minimum payment plus the extra $500), that debt is completely gone in one month. Now you can take the freed-up $550 and attack your credit card debt, paying a total of $613 ($550 plus the $63 minimum payment). In about four months, you’ll be waving goodbye to that credit card debt too! Next, you’ll tackle the car loan to the tune of $748 a month ($613 plus $135). In 10 months, you’ll be driving a vehicle you actually own. By the time you reach that dreaded student loan (your biggest debt), you can put $844 a month towards it. That means you’ll be making your final payment in just 12 months. With all your hard work and sacrifice, throwing extra money into your debt strategy and staying focused on the goal, you’ll have paid off $20,000 in just 27 months! Wondering if this is the right debt strategy for you? I’m always here to help. Answers are a call or email away.